Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.81	3.66	2.37
	2.73	3.66	2.37
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.77	3.45	2.32
	2.9	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.24)	3.46 ↑ (3.34)	2.24 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
32.4%

Draw
26.6%

Braintree Town
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastbourne Borough's form might have worsened.

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braintree Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braintree Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2.

Eastbourne is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Braintree is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
07.11.23	Maidstone United - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	4:2 ✺
28.10.23	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	3:3 ✺
24.10.23	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Weymouth - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
07.11.23	Braintree Town - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.04.23	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
22.10.22	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	1:2
05.02.22	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	0:0
25.09.21	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	6:0
14.11.20	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	4:0
17.08.19	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	5:0
09.12.17	Braintree Town - Eastbourne Borough	3:2

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