Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Eastbourne Borough		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.63
	2.3	3.3	2.55
	2.35	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.81
	2.42	3.37	2.81
	2.38	3.4	2.6
	2.36	3.5	2.69
	2.34	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
38.8%

Draw
26.9%

Dartford
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Eastbourne Borough - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2.

Eastbourne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dartford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dartford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 31-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
21.10.23	Weymouth - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3 ✺
30.09.23	Taunton Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTL
- Dartford
English National League South
21.10.23	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dartford	4:3 ✺
07.10.23	Chippenham Town - Dartford	1:4 ✺
23.09.23	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Dartford - Welling United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.04.23	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	2:1
27.09.22	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	2:1
07.05.22	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	2:7
30.08.21	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	3:1
09.02.21	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
05.12.20	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	3:1
22.02.20	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	2:1

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