Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.1	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.39	3.16
	2.21	3.39	3.16
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.16	3.42	3.06
	2.15	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	3.02 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
42.6%

Draw
27.1%

St Albans City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Braintree Town - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

St Albans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Braintree will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Braintree won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Chesham United - Braintree Town	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWL
- St Albans City
English National League South
28.10.23	St Albans City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	St Albans City - Slough Town	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Farnborough - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.04.23	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:2
27.09.22	Braintree Town - St Albans City	1:0
12.02.22	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:1
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	St Albans City - Braintree Town	1:0 penalties
English National League South
09.10.21	Braintree Town - St Albans City	0:2
10.11.20	St Albans City - Braintree Town	2:1
14.03.20	Braintree Town - St Albans City	0:1

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