Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	St Albans City		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.15	3.3	2.17
	3.15	3.28	2.26
	3.09	3.22	2.23
	3.15	3.3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
29.4%

Draw
28.2%

Eastbourne Borough
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St Albans (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Woollard Innocent K. ⚽,
33', James J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1.

Recent matches St Albans is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eastbourne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently St Albans have a series of home games.

Eastbourne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches St Albans won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28:28 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
05.04.25	St Albans City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	St Albans City - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	St Albans City - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	St Albans City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chesham United - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTWL
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
05.04.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0
13.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:2
07.10.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3
11.03.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3
12.11.22	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0
05.03.22	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0
30.10.21	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:1

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