Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Eastleigh		Newport County

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.75	2.45
	2.65	3.7	2.4
	2.8	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.58	3.8	2.62
	2.75	3.63	2.47
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	2.66	3.76	2.42	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.47)	3.7 ↓ (3.71)	2.43 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
35.5%

Draw
25.6%

Newport County
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Eastleigh - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Newport will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastleigh: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 19. Panter C. 6. Francillette L. 15. Croll L. 11. Boldewijn E. 17. Maguire C. 4. Atangana N. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Clements B. 9. McCallum P. 20. Quigley S.	1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 24. Wildig A. 5. Clarke J. 4. Delaney R. (C) 3. Lewis A. 8. Morris B. 17. Bennett S. 20. Charsley H. 7. Evans W. 30. Palmer-Houlden S.
Substitutes
10. Barlow A. 3. Clampin R. 23. Harris J. J. 14. Hodson L. 5. Martin A. 16. Nwabuokei S. 21. Rutherford O. 13. Scott T. (G) 27. Yang S.	33. Bondswell M. 14. Bright H. 23. Jameson K. 26. Maxted J. (G) 2. Payne L. 18. Rai K. 41. Sanca N. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.
Coaches
Hill R.	Coughlan G.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Eastleigh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
13.01.24	Eastleigh - Southend United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Newport County - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
English National League
01.01.24	Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge	4:4 ✺
26.12.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Eastleigh - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLW
- Newport County
English League Two
13.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Newport County - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.01.24	Newport County - Eastleigh	1:1

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