Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Newport County

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.7
	2.45	3.3	2.75
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3.45	2.82
	2.64	3.33	2.82
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.48	3.48	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.27)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
37.7%

Draw
27.8%

Newport County
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Sutton United - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. (C) 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 26. Gape D. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 18. Pereira D. 33. Angol L.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Payne L. 28. Baker M. 5. Clarke J. 4. Delaney R. (C) 19. McLoughlin S. 20. Charsley H. 17. Bennett S. 8. Morris B. 7. Evans W. 30. Palmer-Houlden S.
Substitutes
25. Arnold S. (G) 10. Beautyman H. 16. Clay C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 23. Jackson R. 24. Milsom R. 40. O'Brien A.	33. Bondswell M. 14. Bright H. 26. Maxted J. (G) 18. Rai K. 41. Sanca N. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.
Coaches
Goodliffe J.	Coughlan G.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
29.12.23	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Sutton United - Barnsley	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLL?
- Newport County
English League Two
29.12.23	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Newport County - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Barnet - Newport County	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.08.23	Newport County - Sutton United	3:1
25.02.23	Newport County - Sutton United	0:2
30.07.22	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1
18.04.22	Sutton United - Newport County	1:0
07.12.21	Newport County - Sutton United	3:2

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