The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 70.4%
Draw 18.1%
Newport County 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
19.7%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.6%
19.1%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Doncaster Rovers - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 17. Bailey O. (C) 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 9. Street R.
1. Townsend N. (G) 23. Jameson K. 5. Clarke J. (C) 4. Baker M. 12. Thomas J. 19. McLoughlin S. 8. Martin J. 26. Evans C. 7. Kamwa B. 11. Antwi C. 44. Ajiboye D.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 27. Crew C. 18. Ennis E. 20. Ironside J. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 10. Sbarra J. 14. Sharp B.
37. Bony G. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 30. Mawene N. 21. Spellman M. 32. Warner J. 36. Webb L. (G) 14. Whitmore K.
Coaches
McCann G.
Jardim N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Street R. ⚽,
57', Clarke J. ↓, Whitmore K. ↑,
57', Martin J. ↓, Mawene N. ↑,
70', Kamwa B. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
71', Evans C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
74', Clifton H. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Molyneux L. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
81', Bailey O. ↓, Crew C. ↑,
81', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
82', Street R. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
84', Antwi C. 🟨,
87', Gibson J. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 1.
Recent matches Doncaster is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newport is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Newport have a series of home games.
In this match Doncaster is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Doncaster: Kelly P.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Red Card)
Brennan C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Davies T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hudlin K.
(Calf Injury)
Wildig A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Emmanuel J.
(Inactive)
Maxwell J.
(Injury)
Molyneux L.
(Injury)
Nixon T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Evans K.
(Inactive)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 
McGrath J. 
Maxwell J. 
Clifton H. 
Townsend N. (G) 
Kamwa B. 
McCann G. 
Jardim N. 
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