Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)


	Newport County		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.2
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.21	3.58	3.29
	2.22	3.58	3.29
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.14	3.54	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	3.54 ↓ (3.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
43.5%

Draw
26.7%

Forest Green Rovers
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Newport County - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Newport County will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 5. Clarke J. 17. Bennett S. 4. Delaney R. (C) 19. McLoughlin S. 8. Morris B. 2. Payne L. 7. Evans W. 20. Charsley H. 9. Bogle O. 28. Baker M.	1. Daniels L. (G) 25. Dabo F. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 17. Robson J. 28. Jones C. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 7. McAllister K. 9. Stevens M. 39. Morton C.
Substitutes
33. Bondswell M. 3. Lewis A. 26. Maxted J. (G) 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 18. Rai K. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.	3. Bernard D. 29. Brown R. 6. Jenks T. 2. Lavinier M. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 22. Welch R.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Deeney T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 1.

Recent matches Newport is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Newport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Newport won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Newport County - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Barnet - Newport County	1:4 ✺
English League Two
09.12.23	Tranmere Rovers - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Newport County - Barnet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLT
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
22.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.12.23	Blackpool - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English League Two
16.12.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	0:3
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
English League Two
01.03.22	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
05.02.22	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	2:0
23.05.21	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	4:3 ET
18.05.21	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0
21.02.21	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	0:2

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