Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Newport County		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4	Watch
	1.75	4.1	4.1
	1.8	4.2	4
	1.81	4.13	4
	1.8	4.13	4
	1.65	3.9	3.9
	1.8	4.1	4	Watch
	1.78	3.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	4.06 ↓ (4.17)	3.99 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
53.2%

Draw
23.2%

Eastleigh
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Newport County - Eastleigh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Eastleigh will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 4. Delaney R. (C) 5. Clarke J. 28. Baker M. 2. Payne L. 8. Morris B. 17. Bennett S. 20. Charsley H. 19. McLoughlin S. 7. Evans W. 30. Palmer-Houlden S.	1. McDonnell J. (G) 11. Boldewijn E. 12. Langston G. 14. Hodson L. 15. Croll L. 18. Clements B. 17. Maguire C. 4. Atangana N. 8. Taylor J. (C) 9. McCallum P. 20. Quigley S.
Substitutes
33. Bondswell M. 14. Bright H. 3. Lewis A. 26. Maxted J. (G) 18. Rai K. 41. Sanca N. 11. Waite J. 24. Wildig A. 22. Wood N. D.	10. Barlow A. 3. Clampin R. 6. Francillette L. 23. Harris J. J. 5. Martin A. 16. Nwabuokei S. 19. Panter C. 21. Rutherford O. 13. Scott T. (G)
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Hill R.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Eastleigh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newport is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Newport County - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWLT
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
01.01.24	Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge	4:4 ✺
26.12.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Eastleigh - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	3:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWL

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