Match Info

National League South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	4.15
	1.87	3.64	3.76	Watch
	1.71	3.83	4.48
	1.69	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	4.22 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
52.7%

Draw
25.3%

Chesham United
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Barnes F. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Adebiyi C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Cosgrave A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ebbsfleet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ebbsfleet is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
18.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Sittingbourne	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Totton - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL
- Chesham United
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chesham United - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWW

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