Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 38

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.38
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.75	3.5	2.37
	2.92	3.73	2.25
	2.78	3.48	2.39	Watch
	3	3.4	2.2
	2.76	3.44	2.33
	2.75	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.4)	3.49 ↓ (3.54)	2.3 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
33.1%

Draw
26.5%

Fylde
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebbsfleet United's form might have worsened.

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ebbsfleet United - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 37. Aoraha A. 27. Bolger A. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 16. Domi F. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L. 3. Page L.	31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 19. Boatswain A. 4. Davis H. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 20. Massey G. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 21. Roberts T. 17. Whelan C. (C)
Substitutes
9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 13. Firth H. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 7. Passley J. 14. Poleon D. 39. Thomas K.	33. Clark C. 15. Hugill W. 6. Long A. 18. McFayden L. 5. Obi E. 29. Ormerod D. 2. Sassi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Page L. ↓, Passley J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Haughton N. ↓, Hugill W. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Lankshear A. ⚽,
62', Aoraha A. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
69', Roberts T. 🟨,
70', Cosgrave A. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
71', Evans O. ↓, McFayden L. ↑,
71', Boatswain A. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
83', Bardell M. ↓, Sassi D. ↑,
83', Mitchell E. ↓, Obi E. ↑,
87', Moncur G. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1.

Ebbsfleet has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fylde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fylde will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
08.03.25	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United	4:2 ✺
18.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League
08.03.25	Fylde - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Gateshead - Fylde	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Altrincham - Fylde	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Fylde - Boston United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
10.12.24	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	2:0
06.04.24	Ebbsfleet United - Fylde	2:1
21.10.23	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
10.08.19	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	1:0
22.12.18	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	2:0
01.09.18	Ebbsfleet United - Fylde	1:3
23.12.17	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	1:1

Upcoming Matches