Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 35

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.95
	3.4	3.15	2.02
	3.79	3.35	2.04
	3.57	3.41	2.03	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.98
	3.4	3.15	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.13)	3.39 ↓ (3.53)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
26.5%

Draw
27.4%

Tamworth
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.4%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: Tamworth will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 7. Passley J. 12. Samuel D. 33. Stewart A.	1. Singh J. (G) 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 9. Creaney D. 33. Crompton B. 5. Digie K. 26. Hollis H. 31. Maher R. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 37. Raikhy A. 4. Tonks T.
Substitutes
9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 22. Chapman B. 45. Harriott C. 36. Manktelow M. 3. Page L. 39. Thomas K.	18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 22. Enoru B. 7. Finn K. 6. Fletcher A. 34. Ponticelli J. 28. Sundire M. 20. Tshikuna N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', Raikhy A. 🟨,
11', Dallison T. 🟨,
17', Passley J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Moncur G. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Creaney D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Lankshear A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Raikhy A. ↓, Sundire M. ↑,
49', Tonks T. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
69', Cosgrave A. ↓, Harriott C. ↑,
70', Domi F. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
71', McGlinchey T. ↓, Finn K. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Hollis H. (Own goal),
78', Bolger A. 🟨,
81', Bolger A. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Ebbsfleet is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ebbsfleet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
22.02.25	Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United	4:2 ✺
18.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - York City	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Halifax Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTLTL
- Tamworth
English National League
25.02.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tamworth - Southend United	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Woking - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.11.24	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
16.04.13	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	1:1
27.10.12	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
24.01.12	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	N/A

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