The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wealdstone 56.5%
Draw 24.1%
Ebbsfleet United 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
22.5%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
21.7%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wealdstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gunter L. (G) 8. Eastmond C. 3. Georgiou A. 27. Grant J. 17. Hutchinson D. 10. Kretzschmar M. 19. Mariappa A. (C) 24. McAvoy C. 14. Obiero M. 22. Reid A. 29. Sohna H.
1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 7. Passley J. 33. Stewart A.
Substitutes
20. Ashford S. 35. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 2. Cook J. 5. Dyer A. 16. Randall W. 12. Sekyere J.
9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 22. Chapman B. 13. Firth H. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 12. Samuel D. 39. Thomas K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Domi F. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Reid A. (Pen),
29', Eastmond C. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Stewart A. ⚽, Dallison T. (A),
44', Grant J. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Sohna H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Passley J. ↓, Chapman B. ↑,
59', McAvoy C. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
59', Georgiou A. ↓, Dyer A. ↑,
59', Eastmond C. ↓, Boldewijn E. ↑,
68', Chapman B. 🟨,
68', Moncur G. ↓, Carr R. ↑,
69', Olagunju M. 🟨,
69', 3 - 2, Sohna H. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
76', Domi F. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
78', Obiero M. ↓, Ashford S. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Reid A. ⚽, Kretzschmar M. (A),
83', Olagunju M. 🟥,
84', 🟨,
88', Hutchinson D. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
90+2', Kretzschmar M. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 1.
Recent matches Wealdstone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ebbsfleet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ebbsfleet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Wealdstone is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).