Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 36

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Eastleigh		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.2
	1.61	3.78	5.85
	1.6	3.81	5.63	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.59	3.95	5.32	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	3.79 ↓ (3.95)	5.42 ↓ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
58.4%

Draw
24.5%

Ebbsfleet United
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: Eastleigh will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 2. Brindley R. 22. Close B. 5. Fernandez L. 4. Humphries L. 7. Maguire C. 31. Maher N. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 30. Underhill C.	1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 22. Chapman B. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 7. Passley J. 12. Samuel D. 33. Stewart A.
Substitutes
14. Hodson L. 9. McCallum P. 19. Panter C. 26. Ryan J. 13. Scott T. (G) 18. Waruih A.	9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 28. Cosgrave A. 45. Harriott C. 36. Manktelow M. (G) 3. Page L. 39. Thomas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Bolger A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Maher N. ⚽, Humphries L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Bolger A. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
58', Chapman B. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Taylor J. ⚽,
65', Chapman B. ↓, Page L. ↑,
65', Samuel D. ↓, Cosgrave A. ↑,
69', Page L. 🟨,
70', Domi F. ↓, Carr R. ↑,
77', Brindley R. ↓, Hodson L. ↑,
83', Close B. ↓, Waruih A. ↑,
84', Moncur G. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
89', Maguire C. ↓, McCallum P. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 2.

Eastleigh is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ebbsfleet is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ebbsfleet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eastleigh is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:20 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
01.03.25	Braintree Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
25.02.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Boston United - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
01.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United	4:2 ✺
18.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - York City	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	0:1
17.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	3:0
03.10.23	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	5:2
07.12.19	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
07.09.19	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	1:1
29.12.18	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	3:0
27.08.18	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	0:1

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