Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 21

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.63	3.77	2.47
	2.47	3.6	2.62	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.6
	2.56	3.44	2.45
	2.6	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	2.51 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
36.5%

Draw
26.6%

Boston United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 9. Bingham R. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 17. Edser T. 29. Kane T. 2. O'Neil L. 33. Stewart A. 19. Tanga J. 25. Wakely J. 4. Wright J.	39. Stone A. (G) 3. Green C. 9. Hazel J. 24. Hill D. 6. Leak T. 22. Maguire F. 15. Reed S. 19. Richards J. 12. Rowe J. 14. Welch F. 18. Wheeldon L.
Substitutes
30. Berry D. (G) 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 10. Fonguck W. 36. Manktelow M. 14. Poleon D. 23. Souare P.	17. Aderoju O. 20. Chadwick B. 2. Coates K. 30. Lovelace J. (G) 21. Osborne S. 7. Ward K. 8. Woods M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Chapman B. ↓, Souare P. ↑,
34', Hill D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kane T. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
47', O'Neil L. 🟨,
63', Reed S. 🟨,
66', Hazel J. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
68', Tanga J. ↓, Domi F. ↑,
68', Wright J. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
70', Reed S. ↓, Woods M. ↑,
71', Wheeldon L. ↓, Chadwick B. ↑,
74', Cosgrave A. 🟨,
82', Maguire F. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
85', Cosgrave A. ↓, Fonguck W. ↑,
86', Bingham R. 🟨,
90+1', Domi F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Ebbsfleet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boston United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ebbsfleet have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
27.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	0:6 ✺
09.11.24	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
29.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT
- Boston United
English National League
26.11.24	Oldham Athletic - Boston United	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Boston United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Woking - Boston United	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Boston United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Boston United - Sunderland U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTW

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