Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Braintree Town		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.65	3.05
	2.02	3.91	3.32
	3.29	3.75	1.98	Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
41.4%

Draw
26.1%

Gateshead
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Braintree Town - Gateshead Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Braintree (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terry M. (G) 16. Babic G. 7. Blackwell T. 21. Clayton R. 33. Davis O. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 17. Pinnington J. 6. Vennings J. 38. Works T.	1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 10. Butterfield J. 22. Edwards C. 3. Ferguson D. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 14. Nouble F. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K. (C) 31. Williams B.
Substitutes
14. Akinde J. 19. Hockey F. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 24. Terry F. 39. Thorpe E.	35. Bone C. 32. Chapman H. 6. Flint W. 17. Home J. 13. Leech P. (G) 16. Lowery L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Adom K. ⚽, Williams B. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Hurst K. ⚽, Edwards C. (A),
33', Davis O. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ferguson D. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Works T. ⚽,
61', Hurst K. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
72', Williams B. 🟨,
77', Babic G. ↓, Hockey F. ↑,
84', Home J. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
88', Blackwell T. ↓, Akinde J. ↑,
88', Pinnington J. ↓, Thorpe E. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 18)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 3.

In recent matches, Braintree has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gateshead is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gateshead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Braintree could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Braintree won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Braintree Town - Nottingham Forest U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Braintree Town - York City	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Rochdale - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- Gateshead
English National League
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Woking - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.25	Gateshead - Braintree Town	1:3
30.11.24	Braintree Town - Gateshead	2:2
30.03.19	Braintree Town - Gateshead	2:0
15.09.18	Gateshead - Braintree Town	0:1
17.12.16	Gateshead - Braintree Town	1:1
10.09.16	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:4
16.04.16	Gateshead - Braintree Town	2:3

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