Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.75	3.6	1.9
	3.93	3.76	1.92
	3.68	3.69	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.83
	3.74	3.65	1.85
	3.6	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (3.49)	1.86 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
25.1%

Draw
25.4%

Rochdale
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

25.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Ebbsfleet United - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 22. Chapman B. 15. Cundle G. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 6. John L. 29. Kane T. 14. Poleon D. 19. Tanga J. 27. Tanner C. 4. Wright J.	31. Robson D. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 15. Ayinde L. 33. Beckwith S. 19. Burger J. 4. East R. 16. Ferguson K. 2. Gordon K. (C) 21. McBride C. 9. Mitchell K.
Substitutes
35. Anthony E. 30. Berry D. (G) 9. Bingham R. 7. Lawson S. 24. Olagunju M. 11. Randall W.	3. Armstrong F. 18. Barlow A. 40. Henderson I. 5. Henry A. 26. Hogan L. 12. Kelly B. (G) 17. Senior C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', Wright J. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Allarakhia T. ⚽,
40', Dallison T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, McBride C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cundle G. ↓, Lawson S. ↑,
46', Poleon D. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
59', Ayinde L. ↓, Armstrong F. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Chapman B. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Bingham R. ⚽,
79', Ferguson K. ↓, Hogan L. ↑,
83', Allarakhia T. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
88', Chapman B. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
89', McBride C. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
90', Tanner C. ↓, Wakely J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ebbsfleet is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rochdale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
28.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Maidenhead United - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Sutton United - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
28.09.24	Rochdale - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Rochdale - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.03.24	Ebbsfleet United - Rochdale	2:1
05.08.23	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:1

Upcoming Matches