Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
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Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
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Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
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Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Hartlepool United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.75
	4.25	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.78	3.48	1.79
	4.06	3.72	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.41	3.56	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.84)	3.53 (3.53)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
21.4%

Draw
26.3%

Rochdale
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.3%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hartlepool United - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 37. Sinclair T. 3. John C. 10. Campbell A. 14. Sheron N. (C) 15. Hunter J. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 7. Allarakhia T. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 21. McBride C.
Substitutes
35. Caton C. 8. Ferguson N. 24. Jay Smith-Sway 27. Oliver V. 4. Parkes T. 40. Smith A. (G) 38. Walker B.	14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 35. Baptiste A. 36. Francis E. 12. Hannant L. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gilmour H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Allarakhia T. ↓, Adebayo-Rowling T. ↑,
62', Gilmour H. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
62', McBride C. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
71', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
71', Moss D. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
79', Campbell A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
79', Miley J. ↓, Jay Smith-Sway ↑,
83', Reid A. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
85', Hannant L. 🟨,
87', Daly M. 🟨,
90', Henderson I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1.

Hartlepool is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rochdale has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rochdale is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Hartlepool	15	5	0	10	15:23	-8	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Hartlepool: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.59%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	7:0 ✺
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Truro City - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.12.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2
26.04.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	5:1
24.09.24	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:3
01.04.24	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:1
28.10.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:3
English League Two
21.01.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:0
26.12.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2

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