Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.5
	5.9	4.15	1.49
	6.04	4.14	1.54
	6.14	4.16	1.5	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.53
	6.15	3.9	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (5.38)	3.99 ↓ (4.15)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
15.5%

Draw
23.3%

Rochdale
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Eastleigh - Rochdale Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 31. Maher N. 27. Harris A. 18. Waruih A. 17. Lundstram J. 24. Cousins J. (C) 15. Saunders H. 11. Blair A. 21. Effiong I.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 7. Allarakhia T. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.
Substitutes
7. Evans K. 26. Giles L. 4. Humphries L. 22. McNamara J. (G) 10. Tabor J. 3. Vokins J. 14. Waite J.	29. Bilongo B. 19. Burger J. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 2, Pettit C. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),
62', Brindley R. ↓, Humphries L. ↑,
68', Maher N. 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Ebanks-Landell E. ⚽,
72', Effiong I. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
72', Maher N. ↓, Waite J. ↑,
72', Cousins J. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
73', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
73', Barlow A. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
73', Moss D. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
80', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
80', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Tabor J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Eastleigh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eastleigh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
10.03.26	Eastleigh - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	York City - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Eastleigh - Truro City	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Morecambe - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rochdale - Woking	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0
12.04.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	4:0
21.09.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	4:2
16.03.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:4
19.08.23	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0

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