Match Info

National League South - Round 15

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	4.45
	1.62	4.19	4.83
	1.61	4.26	4.69	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.75
	1.55	4.05	4.81
	1.55	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	4.04 ↑ (3.5)	4.66 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
57.6%

Draw
22.7%

Slough Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Chelmsford City - Slough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Adigun J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Adigun J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 2.

Chelmsford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Slough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Slough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelmsford is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
14.03.26	Worthing - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chelmsford City - Bath City	7:1 ✺
28.02.26	Torquay United - Chelmsford City	0:5 ✺
23.02.26	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWWW
- Slough Town
English National League South
14.03.26	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
10.03.26	Slough Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
03.03.26	Bath City - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Slough Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.01.26	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	5:0
30.11.24	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	3:1
10.08.24	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	2:1
06.04.24	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	1:1
21.10.23	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:0
13.02.23	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	2:0
16.08.22	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:2

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