Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Ebbsfleet United		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4	5.3
	1.45	4.2	5.6
	1.45	4.3	6.69
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.43	4.3	6.2
	1.46	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)	5.8 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
62.3%

Draw
22%

St Albans City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Ebbsfleet United - St Albans City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). St Albans will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ebbsfleet: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 4.

Ebbsfleet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St Albans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St Albans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ebbsfleet to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
22.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Welling United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Sevenoaks Town	2:0 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Taunton Town	5:0 ✺
27.09.22	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWTW
- St Albans City
English National League South
22.10.22	St Albans City - Dartford	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Welling United - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
11.10.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	Braintree Town - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.03.22	St Albans City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
08.02.22	Ebbsfleet United - St Albans City	5:0
17.10.20	St Albans City - Ebbsfleet United	3:2
11.03.17	St Albans City - Ebbsfleet United	0:3
24.09.16	Ebbsfleet United - St Albans City	3:1
16.02.16	Ebbsfleet United - St Albans City	1:0
15.08.15	St Albans City - Ebbsfleet United	0:2

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