Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		York City

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.44
	6	4.3	1.42
	7.45	4.79	1.41
	6.99	4.52	1.43	Watch
	9	4.8	1.3
	7.3	4.65	1.37
	6	4.3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.11 ↓ (8.08)	4.53 ↓ (5.09)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
13.1%

Draw
20.5%

York City
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

18.1%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

17.4%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebbsfleet United - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Covolan L. (G) 27. Bolger A. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 7. Passley J. 33. Stewart A.	1. Male H. (G) 15. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Felix J. 5. Howe C. 8. Hunt A. 21. John C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Sinclair T.
Substitutes
37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 22. Chapman B. 13. Firth H. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 12. Samuel D. 39. Thomas K.	20. Aguiar R. 2. Fallowfield R. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 29. Luamba J. 17. Richardson L. 24. Stones J. 16. Watson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Passley J. 🟨,
28', Olagunju M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Stewart A. 🟨,
52', Armstrong M. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
52', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
60', Cosgrave A. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
60', Passley J. ↓, Chapman B. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Pearce O. (Pen),
71', Edser T. 🟨,
74', Sinclair T. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, John C. ⚽,
76', Sinclair T. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
78', Edser T. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
81', Olagunju M. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
89', John C. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
90', Moncur G. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match York is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
08.02.25	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Halifax Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
18.01.25	Woking - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLLWT
- York City
English National League
08.02.25	York City - Woking	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	York City - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Boston United - York City	3:1 ✺
21.01.25	Oldham Athletic - York City	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	York City - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.10.24	York City - Ebbsfleet United	4:0
23.12.23	York City - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
02.09.23	Ebbsfleet United - York City	4:1
21.01.12	York City - Ebbsfleet United	N/A

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