Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 24

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Oldham Athletic		York City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.4	2.95
	2.29	3.53	3.03
	2.31	3.33	3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.25	3.38	2.92
	2.3	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.43)	3.33 ↑ (3.22)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
40.5%

Draw
27.8%

York City
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Oldham Athletic - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). York will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 30. Norwood J. 2. Ogle R. 4. Pett T. 16. Raglan C. (C) 25. Reid A. 15. Rossiter J.	1. Male H. (G) 15. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Felix J. 5. Howe C. (C) 8. Hunt A. 21. John C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Sinclair T.
Substitutes
13. Dennis J. (G) 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 11. Kay J. 34. Leake J. 21. Sutton W. 18. Waters B.	20. Aguiar R. 19. Chadwick B. 32. Grumley G. 27. Hernandez A. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 24. Stones J. 16. Watson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', Ogle R. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Fagan-Walcott M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Pearce O. ⚽,
42', Howe C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reid A. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
47', Nathaniel-George A. 🟨,
61', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
63', Caprice J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
66', Monthe M. 🟨,
68', Norwood J. ↓, Waters B. ↑,
74', Batty D. ↓, Chadwick B. ↑,
74', Armstrong M. ↓, Aguiar R. ↑,
77', Kitching M. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
84', Pearce O. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
90+1', Male H. 🟨,
90+4', Sinclair T. ↓, Grumley G. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Recent matches Oldham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
18.01.25	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.25	Eastleigh - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Braintree Town - Oldham Athletic	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW
- York City
English National League
18.01.25	York City - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - York City	1:0 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	York City - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	York City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tamworth - York City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.02.24	York City - Oldham Athletic	1:1
19.09.23	Oldham Athletic - York City	2:0
24.01.23	Oldham Athletic - York City	2:0
29.08.22	York City - Oldham Athletic	1:1

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