The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kagoshima United 68.3%
Draw 18.3%
Fukushima United 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
21.4%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
20.6%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kagoshima United's performance.
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kagoshima United - Fukushima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Sakata D. (G) 35. Egawa G. 5. Yamada Y. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 14. Yoshio K. 19. Inaba S. 2. Saga R. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Arita R.
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 37. Sasaki N. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 28. Suzu N. 10. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 13. Higuchi A. 7. Ashibe K. 9. Shimizu K. 8. Okada Y.
Substitutes
20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 11. Fukuda M. 99. Juanma Delgado 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kawashima K. 16. Muramatsu K. 13. Nagamine Y. 22. Takahashi A.
23. Anzai T. 77. Chiba T. 3. Honda K. 20. Izumi S. 11. Miura K. 44. Okuda K. 26. Tanaka K. 1. Ueda T. (G) 66. Uehara M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Arita R. ⚽, Egawa G. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Tanaka W. ⚽, Arita R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 3 - 0, Arita R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Kawamura K. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Okada Y. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Ashibe K. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
73', Sasaki N. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
78', Tanaka W. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
78', Arita R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
81', Suzu N. ↓, Anzai T. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Okada Y. ⚽, Fujitani T. (A),
89', Fujitani T. ↓, Honda K. ↑,
90+1', Kawamura K. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
90+1', Yoshio K. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
90+4', Juanma Delgado 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - J2 League and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 3.
Kagoshima United is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fukushima United has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kagoshima United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fukushima United has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Kagoshima United as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Kagoshima United has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:9 (averaging 2.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kagoshima United against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:4 goals (averaging 3:0.8 per game).
Japan
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Sakata D. (G) 
Juanma Delgado 
Honda K. 
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