The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegalta Sendai 39.4%
Draw 29.7%
JEF United Chiba 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
28.9%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
28.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
18.7%
75%
Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). JEF United will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
AH 0 - JEF United (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): JEF United Chiba will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 3. Okuyama M. 11. Goke Y. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 59. Kobayashi K. 47. Araki S.
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 42. Issaka Z. 6. Eduardo 4. Taguchi T. 14. Tsubaki N. 9. Goya H. 39. Mori K.
Substitutes
9. Eron 42. Ishii H. 17. Kudo A. 6. Matsui R. 99. Miyazaki K. 48. Nakada Y. 2. Takada R. 21. Umeda R. (G) 32. Yamauchi H.
99. Derek 15. Mae T. 44. Shinada M. 18. Sugiyama N. 13. Suzuki D. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 26. Ueda Y. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Taguchi T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Takeda H. ⚽, Araki S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsubaki N. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
46', Hidaka M. ↓, Ueda Y. ↑,
58', Goya H. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
62', Kobayashi K. ↓, Eron ↑,
79', Mori K. ↓, Derek ↑,
80', Takeda H. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
80', Sagara R. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
80', Okuyama M. ↓, Takada R. ↑,
87', Issaka Z. ↓, Yonekura K. ↑,
90+2', Kamada H. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 1.
Sendai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
JEF United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
JEF United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Japan
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Hayashi A. (G) 
Suarez J. (G) 
Eduardo 
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