Match Info

J2 League - Round 26

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.62	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	4.55	3.75	1.65	Watch
	5.17	4.04	1.68
	4.47	3.76	1.73	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	5.03	3.92	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.52)	3.75 (3.75)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
20.2%

Draw
24.7%

Omiya Ardija
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.4%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Ehime - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: Omiya Ardija will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Omiya Ardija will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tokushige K. (G) 19. Kuroishi T. 29. Fukushima H. 3. Marcel Scalese 2. Konno I. 10. Sato R. 8. Fukazawa Y. 28. Maeda R. 48. Yukutomo T. 40. Sugimori K. 18. Taguchi Y.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 4. Ichihara R. 13. Iyoha O. 20. Shimoguchi W. 42. Fujii K. 41. Yachida T. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O. 10. Toyokawa Y.
Substitutes
90. Arthur Viana 32. Fujimoto Y. 27. Funahashi K. 16. Hosoya K. 44. Moriyama K. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 14. Tanimoto S. 15. Tsuruno R. 4. Yamahara K.	30. Arthur Feitoza 29. Caprini 44. Fukui K. 9. Gonzalez F. 21. Kato Y. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 18. Tsukui T. 33. Wada T.
Coaches
Aono S.	Nagasawa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Izumi T. ⚽, Yachida T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Fukazawa Y. ↓, Tanimoto S. ↑,
57', Yukutomo T. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
62', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Caprini ↑,
62', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
62', Fujii K. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
69', Konno I. ↓, Moriyama K. ↑,
69', Taguchi Y. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Caprini ⚽,
78', Marcel Scalese ↓, Hosoya K. ↑,
80', Yachida T. ↓, Arthur Feitoza ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Tsukui T. ⚽, Caprini (A),
86', Izumi T. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
90+1', Kojima M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 2.

Ehime is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Omiya is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ehime may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Omiya is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ehime won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
10.08.25	Ehime - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Imabari - Ehime	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Ehime - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
09.08.25	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
08.06.25	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	1:1
12.09.21	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	3:3
17.04.21	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	0:1
02.12.20	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	3:3
22.08.20	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	2:1
25.08.19	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	5:1
04.05.19	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	2:1

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