Match Info

J2 League - Round 25

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.8
	4.15	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.68	3.62	1.83
	4.62	3.57	1.75	Watch
	4	3.2	1.85
	4.52	3.51	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4.22)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
21.5%

Draw
27%

Sagan Tosu
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.9%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	11.8%	82.4%

Ehime - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: Sagan Tosu will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sagan Tosu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tokushige K. (G) 29. Fukushima H. 3. Marcel Scalese 16. Hosoya K. 19. Kuroishi T. 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Maeda R. 2. Konno I. 10. Sato R. 40. Sugimori K. 17. Murakami Y.	12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 4. Imazu Y. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 77. Slivka V. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
9. Duncan B. 8. Fukazawa Y. 5. Ishiura T. 44. Moriyama K. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 7. Soneda Y. 18. Taguchi Y. 15. Tsuruno R. 4. Yamahara K.	18. Hino S. 10. Honda F. 30. Kimoto Y. 2. Matsumoto N. 33. Nishiya K. 15. Sakai N. 47. Shinkawa S. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 91. Uehara M.
Coaches
Aono S.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Nishizawa K. ⚽,
44', Kuroishi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
46', Maeda R. ↓, Taguchi Y. ↑,
46', Tanimoto S. ↓, Duncan B. ↑,
62', Yamada H. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
62', Nishikawa J. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
63', Nishizawa K. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
68', Sugimori K. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
69', Slivka V. 🟨,
69', Sato R. 🟨,
76', Sato R. ↓, Fukazawa Y. ↑,
82', Arai H. ↓, Kimoto Y. ↑,
82', Kuroishi T. ↓, Yamahara K. ↑,
86', Murakami Y. 🟨,
90+3', Kimoto Y. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).

Ehime has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tosu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tosu is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Imabari - Ehime	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Ehime - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ehime - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	JEF United Chiba - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	1:0
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2

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