Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)


	Ehime		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.6
	1.63	3.5	4.75
	1.67	3.69	4.96
	1.62	3.3	4.75
	1.63	3.74	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	4.76 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
55.3%

Draw
25.6%

Sagamihara
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ehime - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ehime: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 16. Mihara S. 15. Oshiro K. 37. Morishita R. 4. Yamaguchi T. 17. Motegi S. 3. Moriwaki R. 20. Yada A. 24. Sato R. 9. Duncan B. 10. Matsuda R.	21. Takeshige A. (G) 5. Watahiki K. 2. Kato D. 4. Yamashita R. 6. Nukui H. 24. Makiyama K. 27. Nishiyama T. 22. Saso K. 9. Fujinuma T. 20. Wakabayashi R. 18. Matsuzawa A.
Substitutes
11. Fukahori S. 26. Fukazawa Y. 47. Hikida Y. 5. Maeno T. 7. Soneda Y. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 48. Yukutomo T.	14. Ando T. 11. Duke C. 8. Hashimoto R. 31. Koga T. (G) 26. Kuribara I. J. 3. Minakuchi Y. 28. Sano R.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 19).

Recent matches Ehime is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sagamihara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ehime is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ehime won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
17.06.23	Ehime - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	YSCC - Ehime	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ehime	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Ehime - Fukushima United	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Imabari - Ehime	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLT
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
18.06.23	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Consadole Sapporo - Sagamihara	3:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
03.06.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	5:3 ✺
28.05.23	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
23.07.22	Sagamihara - Ehime	2:3
10.04.22	Ehime - Sagamihara	2:1
Japan J2 League
21.11.21	Ehime - Sagamihara	1:2
27.05.21	Sagamihara - Ehime	0:1

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