Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)


	Ehime		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.79	5.11
	1.55	3.7	4.6
	1.61	3.65	4.85	Watch
	1.62	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.81 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
56.3%

Draw
24.8%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ehime, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 34. Kimura T. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 47. Hikida Y. 26. Fukazawa Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 7. Soneda Y. 25. Ishiura T. 17. Motegi S. 10. Matsuda R.	99. Ueda S. (G) 2. Aoyama I. 3. Dai K. 28. Manabe H. 5. Kitamura R. 8. Higashide S. 22. Tanaka J. 14. Eguchi R. 80. Nagata K. 7. Aoto K. 42. Minamino H.
Substitutes
9. Duncan B. 11. Fukahori S. 23. Hiraoka Y. 3. Moriwaki R. 24. Sato R. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 20. Yada A.	55. Aoki K. (G) 20. Matsumoto K. 4. Nishioka T. 37. Okuda H. 10. Shimozawa Y. 25. Takahashi K. 18. Yamazaki R.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 18).

Recent matches Ehime is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ehime is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
01.10.23	Kataller Toyama - Ehime	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Ehime - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Ryūkyū - Ehime	2:3 ✺
09.09.23	Ehime - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Nagano Parceiro - Ehime	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
01.10.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.04.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ehime	0:0
27.10.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ehime	3:3
10.07.22	Ehime - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0

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