Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Nagano Parceiro		Ehime

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.74	1.93
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.55	3.52	1.92	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.75)	3.44 ↑ (2.9)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
26.4%

Draw
26.6%

Ehime
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagano Parceiro's form might have worsened.

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ehime's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ehime, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 37. Takahashi K. 7. Ono Y. 5. Ikegaya H. 32. Harada K. 47. Kato K. 19. Sugii H. 17. Sato Y. 14. Sanda N. 18. Otoizumi S. 8. Kondo T.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 34. Kimura T. 15. Oshiro K. 33. Ogawa S. 5. Maeno T. 26. Fukazawa Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 7. Soneda Y. 6. Sasaki T. 17. Motegi S. 10. Matsuda R.
Substitutes
3. Akiyama T. 9. Fujimori R. 4. Funabashi Y. 22. Kihara R. 15. Miyasaka M. 10. Yamanaka R. 1. Yatagai S. (G)	9. Duncan B. 11. Fukahori S. 38. Masukake Y. 37. Morishita R. 3. Moriwaki R. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 20. Yada A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Recent matches Nagano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ehime is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ehime will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nagano won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nagano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
26.08.23	Nara Club - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:5 ✺
13.08.23	Kagoshima United - Nagano Parceiro	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLW
- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
26.08.23	Ehime - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Grulla Morioka - Ehime	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Ehime - Gainare Tottori	3:2 ✺
05.08.23	Gifu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Ehime - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
12.03.23	Ehime - Nagano Parceiro	1:1
08.10.22	Ehime - Nagano Parceiro	2:2
12.06.22	Nagano Parceiro - Ehime	1:1

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