Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 15

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: De Aza M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Eibar		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.33	5.43
	1.89	3.31	4.55	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.83	3.4	4.73	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	4.85 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
52.1%

Draw
28.5%

Ferrol
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Eibar - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 17. Corpas J. 4. Carrillo A. 22. Arambarri A. 14. Arrillaga H. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 7. Alkain X. 29. Madariaga A. 20. Puertas A. 11. Pascual J.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 2. Delmas J. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 16. Manzanara F. 6. Sanz A. 11. Nacho 8. Lopez A. 12. Bebe 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
35. Carrasco O. 2. Cubero S. 1. Daniel Fuzato (G) 21. Guruzeta J. 3. Gutierrez C. 15. Hashimoto K. 9. Jon B. 18. Merquelanz M. 27. Slavy 19. Villa T.	7. Borrego C. 22. Bunuel A. 23. Cabaco E. 26. Carballo D. 17. Dorrio J. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 18. Martinez B. 10. Sene J. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Corpas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez B. ↓, Moi ↑,
46', Puric A. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Pascual J. ⚽, Puertas A. (A),
56', Carrillo A. ↓, Chema ↑,
62', Castro D. 🟨,
63', Borrego C. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
63', Delmas J. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Pascual J. ⚽, Jon B. (A),
68', Jon B. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
68', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
80', Manzanara F. ↓, Nacho ↑,
85', Chema 🟨,
87', Pascual J. ↓, Slavy ↑,
87', Puertas A. ↓, Merquelanz M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Eibar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

There are questionable in Eibar: Pereira M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Perea L. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.23%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
11.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Eibar - Elche	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	UD Logroñés - Eibar	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Málaga - Eibar	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Eibar - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Cuarte - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Burgos - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Ferrol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.24	Ferrol - Eibar	1:1
17.09.23	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0

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