Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	Aragon TV, TVG 2


	Ferrol		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.82	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.98
	2.54	3.08	2.88
	2.43	3.31	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3	2.88	Watch
	2.5	2.99	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	2.88 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
37.1%

Draw
30.6%

Huesca
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ferrol - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Huesca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Diaz L. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 15. Zalaya A. 16. Garcia S. 21. Carballo D. 8. Gorostidi A. 6. Gelardo A. (C) 24. Garcia A. 9. Escobar A. 11. Dacosta R.	30. Martin D. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 15. Perez H. 28. Arribas S. 3. Abajas R. 33. Luna D. 23. Sielva O. (C) 7. Rico M. 22. Perez A. 19. Ntamack S. 18. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 20. Gimenez A. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 10. Pascu 23. Pena A. 17. Ramon A.	38. Albarracin G. 17. Alonso J. 16. Alvarez J. 37. Chatiliez W. 9. Enrich S. 40. Garcia J. (G) 10. Kortajarena I. 21. Ojeda D. 1. Perez Juan (G) 5. Pina 20. Portillo F.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Bolo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Ntamack S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sielva O. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
46', Carballo D. ↓, Pascu ↑,
57', Rico M. 🟨,
61', Perez A. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
61', Luna D. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
63', Garcia S. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
66', Zalaya A. 🟨,
69', Gelardo A. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
69', Garcia A. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Ntamack S. ⚽, Portillo F. (A),
74', Ramon A. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
74', Rico M. ↓, Kortajarena I. ↑,
81', Rodriguez E. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrol - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Huesca - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Ferrol - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Barakaldo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ferrol - Zamora	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arenteiro - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Ferrol - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWL
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Huesca - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
05.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.25	Huesca - Ferrol	3:1
20.10.24	Ferrol - Huesca	0:0
14.04.24	Ferrol - Huesca	2:1
10.12.23	Huesca - Ferrol	1:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
13.06.15	Huesca - Ferrol	2:0
06.06.15	Ferrol - Huesca	0:4

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