Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Ferrol		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.57	3.25	2.24
	3.52	3.27	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.36	3.38	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.17)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
28.1%

Draw
29%

Racing Santander
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Ferrol - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 2. Delmas J. 15. Castro D. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 16. Manzanara F. 8. Lopez A. 6. Sanz A. 11. Nacho 9. Jauregi E. 12. Bebe	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 5. Castro J. 24. Montero J. 40. Garcia M. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 22. Rodriguez P. 19. Karrikaburu J.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 22. Bunuel A. 23. Cabaco E. 26. Carballo D. 17. Dorrio J. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 18. Martinez B. 10. Sene J. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	20. Camara S. 28. Carrascal M. 34. Diaz D. 3. Garcia S. 12. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Junior L. 18. Manu 1. Parera P. M. (G) 32. Salinas J. 14. Zenitagoia E.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
18', Martin A. (Pen),
33', 0 - 2, Karrikaburu J. ⚽, Aldasoro A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
46', Nacho ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,
46', Bebe ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
50', Borrego C. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Jauregi E. ⚽, Gimenez A. (A),
64', Naldo 🟨,
67', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
72', Sangalli M. 🟨,
73', Delmas J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
75', Martin A. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
78', Jauregi E. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
80', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
80', Sangalli M. ↓, Manu ↑,
81', Garcia M. 🟨,
90+4', Gueye M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1.

Ferrol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ferrol: Sene J. (Knock)

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Knee Injury) Mantilla A. (Injury) Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Thigh Injury) Perea L. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Cuarte - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Burgos - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Ferrol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTTW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.24	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Lanzarote - Racing Santander	3:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
23.10.24	Racing Santander - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cádiz - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.22	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:0
03.10.21	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.01.17	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:1
11.09.16	Ferrol - Racing Santander	0:1
07.05.16	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2

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