Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 22

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)


	Eibar		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.55	3.8	6.5
	1.59	3.55	5.8
	1.63	3.59	6.92
	1.5	3.7	7.5
	1.6	3.7	6.05	Watch
	1.6	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	6.26 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
59.3%

Draw
25.7%

Ibiza
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24.6%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	7.2%	5.8%

Eibar - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (60 of 69 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.01% – 94.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Eibar has the most likely position - 1 (23.69%), has project points - 70, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (46.59%), has project points - 38, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 52, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Eibar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibiza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Eibar is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eibar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.22	Levante - Eibar	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Burgos - Eibar	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Eibar - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.22	Albacete Balompié - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
08.12.22	Ibiza - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Zaragoza - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.10.22	Ibiza - Eibar	1:2
10.04.22	Ibiza - Eibar	2:0
03.10.21	Eibar - Ibiza	3:1

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