Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)


	Zaragoza		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	6	Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.5	5.6
	1.65	3.45	5.4
	1.68	3.62	6.01
	1.7	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5.6	Watch
	1.67	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	3.47 ↑ (3.1)	5.65 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
56.4%

Draw
27%

Ibiza
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

30.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	4.9%	4.9%

Zaragoza - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: Zaragoza will win (74 of 82 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.82% – 96.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Zaragoza has the most likely position - 12 (7.07%), has project points - 55, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (30.85%), has project points - 39, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 39, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.22	Burgos - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Diocesano - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.22	Ibiza - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Palencia CA - Ibiza	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Ibiza - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.22	Ibiza - Zaragoza	2:2
13.08.21	Zaragoza - Ibiza	0:0

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