Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 19

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	3	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.55	2.88	3.05
	2.6	2.8	2.95
	2.71	2.86	3.19
	2.6	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3.08	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.68)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
35.9%

Draw
33.2%

Racing Santander
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

33%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.3%	56.5%	15.2%

Ibiza - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). Racing will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.2% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (34.74%), has project points - 39, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Racing has the most likely position - 20 (10.8%), has project points - 47, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.22	Zaragoza - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
28.11.22	Ibiza - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Palencia CA - Ibiza	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Ibiza - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.22	Racing Santander - Lugo	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Racing Santander - Burgos	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWT

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