Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	TVG 2


	Pontevedra		Eibar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.05	2.22
	3.56	3.15	2.2
	3.57	2.91	2.21	Watch
	3.4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.59	3.24	2.23	Watch
	3.5	3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.01)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
26.9%

Draw
30.3%

Eibar
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Pontevedra - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sousa E. (G) 2. Eimil V. 23. Montoro A. 33. Outeirino I. 3. Exposito A. 6. Ribeiro A. 5. Conesa N. 10. Pino Y. 14. Resende J. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 20. Denia M.	1. Lopez L. (G) 4. Arambarri A. 19. Villa T. 24. Buta L. 14. Olaetxea L. 5. Martinez J. 8. Nolaskoain P. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 18. Ares A. 20. Javier Marton 22. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 4. Bosch M. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 11. Cuesta M. 29. Delgado A. 17. Macias L. 13. Marqueta R. (G) 32. Mendez I. 24. Rodriguez T. 9. Selma D. 16. Vidorreta A.	6. Alvarez S. 23. Arbilla A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 17. Corpas J. 27. Garcia H. 10. Guruzeta J. 16. Madariaga A. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 21. Moreno M.
Coaches
Dominguez R.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Martinez J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Javier Marton ⚽, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Eimil V. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
53', Outeirino I. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
53', Conesa N. ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
53', Denia M. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
60', Martinez J. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
60', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
60', Villa T. ↓, Corpas J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Corpas J. ⚽, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
73', Arambarri A. 🟨,
74', Ares A. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
76', Exposito A. ↓, Cuesta M. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ⚽,
81', Buta L. ↓, Arbilla A. ↑,
87', Macias L. 🟨,

Preview

Pontevedra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eibar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eibar could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lugo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Pontevedra - Zamora	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTTW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Almería - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTWL

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