Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Eibar		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	7	Watch
	1.52	3.75	6.3	Watch
	1.57	3.76	6.64	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.57	3.78	6.72	Watch
	1.53	3.66	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	6.61 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
60.8%

Draw
25.1%

Mirandés
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

25.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	11.4%	25.7%

Eibar - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Mirandés will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Eibar (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eibar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 9 - 90%). Mirandés (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 6. Alvarez S. 30. Garrido A. 16. Madariaga A. 10. Guruzeta J. 17. Corpas J. 9. Bautista J.	1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 5. Pica A. 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 27. Tamarit T. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 17. Perez P. 9. Petit G. 10. Fernandez C. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 2. Cubero S. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 14. Olaetxea L. 19. Villa T.	36. Alutiz H. 41. Arriola M. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 19. Illesca M. 13. Juanpa (G) 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 4. Pascual M.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Galvan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pica A. ⚽, Bauza R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Corpas J. (A),
59', Guruzeta J. 🟨,
61', Petit G. 🟥,
62', Fernandez C. 🟨,
67', Rodriguez A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
67', Guruzeta J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
68', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
69', Moreno M. 🟨,
81', Garrido A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
82', Pascual M. 🟨,
83', Cordoba I. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Javier Marton (Penalty Awarded),
85', Bautista J. ↓, Olaetxea L. ↑,
87', Perez P. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
87', Pica A. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
90+4', Arbilla A. 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3.

Eibar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mirandés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Eibar is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Eibar: Ares A. (Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Gutierrez J. (Red Card) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Eibar: Alkain X. (Muscle Injury) Jair (Muscle Injury) Martinez J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Cordoba I. (Injury) Fernandez C. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Eibar: 13.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.25	Eibar - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eibar - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Córdoba - Eibar	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Pontevedra - Eibar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTLW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.25	Eibar - Mirandés	0:1
19.10.24	Mirandés - Eibar	1:0
26.01.24	Eibar - Mirandés	1:0
05.10.23	Mirandés - Eibar	1:3
20.03.23	Mirandés - Eibar	2:3
10.10.22	Eibar - Mirandés	0:0
03.04.22	Eibar - Mirandés	1:1

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