Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Eibar		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.57	1.96
	4.16	3.57	1.94
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.95	3.52	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.36)	3.48 ↑ (3.29)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
24.3%

Draw
27.1%

Athletic Bilbao
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.4%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	27.8%	66.7%

Eibar - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Athletic will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yoel (G) 15. Tejero A. 22. Simic S. 5. Berrocal J. 21. Rios Reina J. 12. Yriarte J. 8. Pereira M. 17. Corpas J. 10. Aketxe A. 27. de la Fuente K. 18. Jon B.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 18. de Marcos O. 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 21. Herrera A. 6. Vesga M. 10. Muniain I. 8. Sancet O. 11. Williams N. 20. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
23. Arbilla A. 4. Correa R. 29. Madariaga A. 32. Muguruza A. 7. Quique 11. Rahmani Y. 30. Soriano M. 19. Stoichkov 31. Troncho A. 1. Zidane L. (G)	29. Ares A. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Garcia de Albeniz I. 22. Garcia R. 30. Gomez U. 31. Jauregizar M. 15. Lekue I. 23. Nolaskoain P. 24. Prados Diaz B. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 1. Simon U. (G)
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Valverde E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 0.

Recent matches Eibar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Athletic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.23	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Eibar - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Melilla - Eibar	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.23	Villarreal B - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTWL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.24	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
20.12.23	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
11.12.23	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Cayón - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.23	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.21	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:1
27.09.20	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
17.06.20	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	2:2
14.12.19	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	0:0
23.02.19	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:0
21.10.18	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	1:1

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