Match Info

LaLiga - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Coliseum (Getafe)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Getafe		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3	2.63	3	Watch
	2.75	2.65	3.1
	3.05	2.52	3.05	Watch
	3.23	2.55	3.16
	2.86	2.62	3.17	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.9
	3.05	2.67	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.38)	2.59 ↓ (2.96)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Getafe
32%

Draw
36.8%

Osasuna
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Getafe's form might have worsened.

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Getafe - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Getafe will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Osasuna will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Soria D. (G) 12. Nyom A. 3. Abqar A. 22. Duarte D. (C) 24. Romero Z. 21. Iglesias J. 6. Martin M. 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 23. Liso A. 19. Vazquez L.	1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 20. Galan J. 7. Moncayola J. (C) 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 9. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
18. Alex Sancris 31. Bekhoucha I. 20. Birmancevic V. 15. Boselli S. 46. Caceres D. 26. Davinchi 14. Javier Munoz 11. Kamara A. 1. Letacek J. (G) 9. Mayoral B. 16. Rico D. 44. Riquelme A.	41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 2. Benito I. 23. Bretones A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 14. Garcia R. 16. Gomez M. 18. Moro R. 29. Osambela A. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)
Coaches
Bordalas Jimenez J.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Boyomo F. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Milla L. ⚽, Vazquez L. (A),
68', Herrando J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
68', Torro L. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
70', Garcia R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
82', Moncayola J. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
82', Oroz A. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
82', Liso A. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
89', Martin M. ↓, Davinchi ↑,
90', Arambarri M. 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Osasuna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Getafe: Djene (Red Card) Juanmi (Injury) Satriano M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Osasuna: Moro R. (Hamstring Injury) Munoz I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Getafe: Kiko Femenia (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Osasuna: Munoz V. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Getafe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Osasuna: 0.25% Getafe: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4:7	-3	8
14	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Getafe - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.94%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Elche - Getafe	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Getafe - Mallorca	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Real Oviedo - Getafe	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Getafe - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Levante - Osasuna	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Osasuna - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Osasuna - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.10.25	Osasuna - Getafe	2:1
16.03.25	Osasuna - Getafe	1:2
05.10.24	Getafe - Osasuna	1:1
21.01.24	Osasuna - Getafe	3:2
17.09.23	Getafe - Osasuna	3:2
28.05.23	Getafe - Osasuna	2:1
18.09.22	Osasuna - Getafe	0:2

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