Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2


	Villarreal B		Eibar

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.93
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	4.09	3.45	2.04
	4.1	3.38	2.05
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.84	3.64	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.38)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
25%

Draw
27.5%

Eibar
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.5%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Villarreal B - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Eibar will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 39. Espigares A. 12. Lekovic S. 19. Iniguez P. (C) 3. Tasende D. 16. Lanchi 14. Gelardo A. 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 7. Collado D. 9. Fores A.	1. Zidane L. (G) 17. Corpas J. 5. Berrocal J. 23. Arbilla A. 2. Gutierrez C. 10. Aketxe A. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Pereira M. 30. Soriano M. 18. Jon B. 19. Stoichkov
Substitutes
17. Blanco F. 24. Ferrari A. 22. Geralnik T. 23. Moreno V. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 33. Navarro P. 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M.	27. de la Fuente K. 9. Qasmi Y. 7. Quique 11. Rahmani Y. 21. Rios Reina J. 22. Simic S. 31. Troncho A. 3. Venancio F. 14. Vencedor U. 13. Yoel (G) 12. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Etxeberria J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Villarreal B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eibar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.23	Racing Santander - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Villarreal B - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.23	Eibar - Levante	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Espanyol - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Eibar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.23	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0
19.08.22	Villarreal B - Eibar	2:2

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