Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Pasaia		Eibar C

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.65
	2.93	2.30	3.27	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3
	2.34	3.12	3.12
	2.33	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.86)	2.87 ↓ (3.35)	3.25 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pasaia
39.4%

Draw
32.2%

Eibar C
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

22.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.

Eibar C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Pasaia - Eibar C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Pasaia is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pasaia	5	3	1	1	7:6	1	10
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Añorga - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Pasaia - Durango	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Aretxabaleta - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Pasaia - Zamudio	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santurtzi - Pasaia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTW
- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Eibar C - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Deusto - Eibar C	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Eibar C - Portugalete	0:5 ✺
06.12.25	San Ignacio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar C - Derio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLT

Pasaia - Eibar C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide