Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Eilenburg		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.45	2.15
	2.84	3.5	2.41
	3.02	3.34	2.14
	2.83	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.68)	3.47 ↓ (3.51)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eilenburg
31.8%

Draw
26.7%

Luckenwalde
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eilenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Eilenburg - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Jannene S. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Maciejewski T. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 2.

Eilenburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Luckenwalde is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eilenburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Eilenburg - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
04.10.25	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Eilenburg - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Magdeburg II - Eilenburg	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Eilenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLL
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
05.10.25	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
07.02.25	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	0:2
21.08.24	Eilenburg - Luckenwalde	2:0
Club Friendly
30.06.24	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	1:1
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.02.24	Eilenburg - Luckenwalde	0:3
26.08.23	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	3:3
11.12.21	Eilenburg - Luckenwalde	2:1
28.07.21	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	1:0

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