Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.50	3.75	2.55
	2.52	3.6	2.62	Watch
	2.59	3.9	2.66
	2.52	3.87	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.65	2.6
	2.61	3.82	2.7	Watch
	2.41	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.31)	3.77 ↑ (3.74)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
37.9%

Draw
25.4%

Freiburg
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Freiburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	17.6%	47.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 2. Baum E. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Brassier L. 26. Kosugi K. 20. Doan R. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 25. Onyedika R. 42. Uzun C. 11. Ebnoutalib Y. 9. Burkardt J.	1. Backhaus M. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 16. Engelhardt Y. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 22. Chandler T. 34. Collins N. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 7. Knauff A. 5. Otavio 35. Pimpong M.	42. Goto K. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 17. Kubler L. 21. Muller F. (G) 37. Rosenfelder M. 27. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Onyedika R. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Scherhant D. ⚽, Makengo J. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Burkardt J. ⚽, Koch R. (A),
37', Backhaus M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Scherhant D. (A),
56', Hojlund O. 🟨,
61', Baum E. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
61', Doan R. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
71', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
71', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
84', Suzuki Y. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
84', Matanovic I. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
88', Holer L. 🟨,
89', Uzun C. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
89', Burkardt J. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 3.

In recent outings, Eintracht has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Freiburg is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Recently, Eintracht has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Eintracht: Maluze J. (Thigh Injury) Ngankam J. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Eintracht: Chaibi F. (Illness).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Eintracht has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:27 (averaging 1.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eintracht against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 22:17 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.78% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
21.08.26	St Tonis - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:11 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Brentford - Eintracht Frankfurt	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paderborn - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Freiburg - Motherwell	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:0
19.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2
17.05.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3
14.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	4:1
18.02.24	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:5
German Bundesliga
24.09.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	0:0

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