Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 12
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paderborn		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.80	1.91	Watch
	3.50	3.75	1.95
	3.65	3.70	1.88	Watch
	3.80	3.90	2.00
	3.41	3.79	2.04	Watch
	3.75	3.90	1.92
	3.72	3.92	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.95	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.78)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paderborn
26.2%

Draw
24.9%

Freiburg
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paderborn's form might have worsened.

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiburg's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	8.6%	80%

Paderborn - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 28 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 66.7% – 93.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Freiburg (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Paderborn (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Freiburg (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Noll N. (G) 21. ter Horst J. 25. Scheller T. 22. Hansen M. 17. Curda L. (C) 28. Ulrich L. 5. Castaneda S. 40. Vidovic G. 23. Obermair R. 9. Philippe R. 18. Pieringer M.	1. Backhaus M. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 16. Engelhardt Y. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
6. Baack T. 7. Batista Meier O. 8. Djuric L. 29. Lippmann C. 30. Marino S. 24. Mohr N. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.	42. Goto K. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 22. Irie C. 17. Kubler L. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 37. Rosenfelder M. 27. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽,
38', Curda L. 🟨,
43', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Philippe R. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
48', ter Horst J. 🟨,
56', Lienhart P. 🟨,
59', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
74', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
74', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
74', Ulrich L. ↓, Batista Meier O. ↑,
82', Engelhardt Y. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
82', Suzuki Y. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
82', ter Horst J. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
82', Pieringer M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
89', Hansen M. ↓, Mohr N. ↑,
90+3', Scheller T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Freiburg is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Paderborn: Awortwie-Grant N. (Knee Injury) Eickel L. (Back Injury) Gayret T. (Knee Injury) Gotze F. (Injury) Michel S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.77% Paderborn: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German Bundesliga
29.08.26	Mainz - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Phönix Lübeck - Paderborn	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Paderborn - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.05.26	Paderborn - Wolfsburg	2:1 ET ✺
21.05.26	Wolfsburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWT
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Freiburg - Motherwell	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Motherwell - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Freiburg - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Freiburg - Paderborn	1:3
German Bundesliga
25.01.20	Freiburg - Paderborn	0:2
24.08.19	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:3
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.16	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:2
22.11.15	Freiburg - Paderborn	4:1
German Bundesliga
02.05.15	Freiburg - Paderborn	1:2
06.12.14	Paderborn - Freiburg	1:1

Upcoming Matches