Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

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	Freiburg		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.65
	2.52	3.55	2.68	Watch
	2.62	3.65	2.74
	2.53	3.73	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.63	3.7	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.24)	3.53 ↓ (3.64)	2.65 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
37.4%

Draw
26.8%

Wolfsburg
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.3%	7.3%	25.5%

Freiburg - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 37 - 67.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 54.9% – 79.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.28) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Wolfsburg (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Freiburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 9. Holer L.	1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 3. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 39. Wimmer P. 5. Vini Souza 24. Eriksen C. (C) 21. Maehle J. 11. Daghim A. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
27. Hofler N. 22. Irie C. 17. Kubler L. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 26. Philipp M. 7. Scherhant D.	9. Amoura M. 31. Gerhardt Y. 15. Jenz M. 10. Majer L. 40. Paredes K. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K. 32. Svanberg M. 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
57', Ginter M. 🟨,
58', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
58', Ogbus B. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
72', Gunter C. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
72', Vini Souza ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
72', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Lienhart P. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
81', Svanberg M. 🟨,
81', Suzuki Y. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
87', Daghim A. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
90+7', Koulierakis K. ↓, Jenz M. ↑,
90+7', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.

Recent performances by Freiburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Groin Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Wind J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:36. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Freiburg - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.33%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Wolfsburg - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Braga - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.04.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	2:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
25.04.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4
26.04.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:1
13.12.24	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	3:2
27.04.24	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	1:2
09.12.23	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	2:3
German Bundesliga
19.05.23	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	2:0

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