Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ekenäs		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.5	3.7
	1.92	3.65	3.3	Watch
	1.97	4	3.74
	1.91	3.76	3.63	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.6
	1.83	3.65	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)	3.66 ↑ (3.59)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
49.4%

Draw
25.1%

KaPa
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ekenäs - KaPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). KaPa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 19. Agbo D. 23. Bah S. 30. Gunes O. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 29. Mohamed F. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 9. Veinbergs N.	1. Collin T. (G) 9. Almen A. 4. Hietalahti P. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 10. Lika Y. 5. Lindberg P. 6. Nurmi N. 21. Rokman D. 11. Sillah S.
Substitutes
15. Bjorklund A. 1. Heino O. (G) 20. Helander L. 27. Kocol D. 3. Maes D. 8. Peltola A. 7. Pimentel L. 21. Sandbacka A.	18. Jantunen E. 17. Jokiranta V. 7. Leinonen N. 15. Pastinen A. 53. Pitkanen A. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 29. Salmi J. 35. Tarkanmaki J. (G)
Coaches
Lignell M.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Lika Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Almen A. 🟨,
65', Pakkanen R. 🟨,
67', Bah S. ↓, Helander L. ↑,
74', Nurmi N. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
79', Kerrebijn R. ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
83', Almen A. ↓, Jantunen E. ↑,
83', Rokman D. ↓, Ripatti D. ↑,
83', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Jokiranta V. ↑,
90+1', Lika Y. ↓, Pitkanen A. ↑,
90+3', Huhtamaki U. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Mohammed N. ⚽,
90+5', Mohammed N. ↓, Bjorklund A. ↑,
90+6', Agbo D. ↓, Maes D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 3.

EIF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KaPa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KaPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

EIF might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, EIF won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.05.26	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Haka - Ekenäs	4:3 ✺
03.05.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	5:2 ✺
25.04.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ekenäs - Klubi 04	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.05.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	KaPa - MYPA	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.05.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	KaPa - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	VJS 2 - KaPa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkoscup
06.02.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:1
Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.09.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:1
14.06.25	KaPa - Ekenäs	1:3
23.04.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:2
Club Friendly
29.03.24	Ekenäs - KaPa	2:2
Finnish Ykkonen
12.08.23	Ekenäs - KaPa	2:1
04.06.23	KaPa - Ekenäs	2:3

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