Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	El Álamo		Trival Valderas

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	5	3.75	1.58
	4.97	3.58	1.56
	5.12	3.77	1.59	Watch
	5.32	3.65	1.57
	5	3.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.65)	3.68 ↑ (3.68)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Álamo
18.2%

Draw
24.6%

Trival Valderas
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Álamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

El Álamo - Trival Valderas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Mineira G. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, del Monte V. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Raul D. O. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Ramos I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

El Álamo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trival Valderas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

El Álamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trival Valderas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Álamo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, El Álamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Aravaca - El Álamo	6:1 ✺
26.04.25	El Álamo - México	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Parla - El Álamo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	El Álamo - Villaverde San Andrés	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Las Rozas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Trival Valderas - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	México - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Trival Valderas - El Álamo	3:2
29.11.20	El Álamo - Trival Valderas	1:1
26.01.20	El Álamo - Trival Valderas	1:0
08.09.19	Trival Valderas - El Álamo	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Trival Valderas - El Álamo	0:2

El Álamo - Trival Valderas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide