Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 8

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Ecu)


	El Nacional		Imbabura

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.84	4.84
	1.72	3.8	4.78
	1.67	3.7	4.33
	1.71	3.79	4.51	Watch
	1.74	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	4.4 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Imbabura
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Imbabura have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

El Nacional - Imbabura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (G) 13. Gomez L. 23. Patino D. 3. del Castillo J. 32. Bedoya A. 9. Balda M. 6. Olmedo M. 14. Tana B. 16. Mejia E. 18. Palacios B. 33. Chere A.	1. Valero M. (G) 4. Medina A. 2. Coronel G. 6. Benitez J. 3. Cabeza E. 22. Mendoza E. 10. Espinoza T. 20. Arteaga M. 7. Pantoja L. 9. Paz F. 29. Pita J.
Substitutes
11. Asprilla G. 29. Borja J. 70. Burbano J. 4. Cabezas R. 51. Chala J. 1. Chala L. (G) 5. Flor F. 8. Martinez F. 21. Mena A. 43. Ordonez J. 27. Torres B. 17. Velez C.	34. Alcivar J. 11. Burbano D. 8. Caicedo R. 13. Chala M. 15. Chavez R. 18. Folleco W. 31. Guisamano J. 21. Mina M. 90. Minda P. (G) 17. Presentado F. 26. Santacruz A. 70. Villamil A.
Coaches
Almeida E.	Armas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Chere A. ⚽, Olmedo M. (A),
34', Olmedo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pita J. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
46', Chere A. ↓, Asprilla G. ↑,
54', Caicedo R. 🟨,
56', Balda M. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
57', Benitez J. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Palacios B. ⚽,
69', Borja J. 🟨,
73', Pantoja L. ↓, Presentado F. ↑,
73', Espinoza T. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
75', Palacios B. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
81', Arteaga M. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
81', Paz F. ↓, Villamil A. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Recent matches El Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Imbabura is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imbabura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match El Nacional is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.24	El Nacional - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Cumbayá - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	SD Aucas - El Nacional	3:4 ✺
17.03.24	El Nacional - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.04.24	Imbabura - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	LDU Quito - Imbabura	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
19.03.24	Orense - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Mushuc Runa - Imbabura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.10.22	Imbabura - El Nacional	3:2
13.09.22	El Nacional - Imbabura	5:0
22.07.22	Imbabura - El Nacional	2:1
03.05.22	El Nacional - Imbabura	2:4

El Nacional - Imbabura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide