Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	El Paso Locomotive		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	5.69	9.58
	1.42	4.41	6.47	Watch
	1.25	5	8
	1.33	5.4	7.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)	5.13 ↑ (4.4)	7.9 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
70.2%

Draw
18.1%

AV Alta
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 28. Mora O. 18. Quezada A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 19. Mendez A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 21. Twumasi K. 10. Moreno A. 14. Rubin R.	22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 4. Pajaro M. 6. Lay O. 5. Alassane M. 19. Anderson C. 24. Higareda S. 18. Aoumaich A. 99. Bahena Jr C.
Substitutes
9. Abitia D. 23. Diaz G. 16. Gabriel Torres 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 25. Ortiz A. 99. Romero A. (G) 93. Tony Alfaro	20. Antwi G. 11. Aoumaich I. 27. Doumbia D. (G) 10. Ibarra M. 17. Mariona J. 2. Ortiz C. 21. Villalobos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
31', Mendez A. 🟨,
33', Moreno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Higareda S. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
58', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
58', Aoumaich A. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
61', Mora O. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
61', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
61', Moreno A. ↓, Gabriel Torres ↑,
70', Lay O. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
71', Mendez A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Dollenmayer N. ⚽, Diaz G. (A),
74', Abitia D. 🟨,
75', Ceja E. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Abitia D. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
89', Coronado R. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
90+2', Diaz G. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of El Paso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, El Paso is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
09.05.26	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWL
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
23.05.26	AV Alta - New York Cosmos	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	New Mexico United - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	AV Alta - Boise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLT

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